Fanduel NBA DFS Strategy Guide 2017

NBA season is getting ready to start and I’m super excited because it’s my most profitable sport by far. While it’s not as popular as NFL, NBA plays daily and requires extensive knowledge of different stats such as usage, home vs away splits, and defensive fantasy points allowed per position.

Because of its technical knowledge, I think NBA is the easiest sport to profit from if you put in a little bit extra work. Coming off a decently profitable season, I will help you optimize your Fanduel NBA lineups and gain a distinct edge over your competition.

Let’s get started.

Fanduel Scoring & Rules

Salary Cap – $60,000

Roster Composition – PG x2, SG x2, SF x2, PF x2, C (nine players)

Avg. Cost Per Position – $6,666

Avg. Salary Range per Player – Floor ($3500), Ceiling ($12,000-variable). FanDuel no longer puts a cap on the salary range, but the highest is typically $11,000-13,000.

Scoring System:
Points = 1 pt
Assists = 1.5 pts
Rebounds = 1.2 pts
Steals = 2 pts
Blocks = 2 pts
Turnover = (-1) pt

Fanduel NBA Lineup Building Tips

You need a mix of players that go off and have solid scoring nights for their price tag. I’ll go over each position and show you how to score enough points to win your cash games and even take down some GPPs on a good night.

PG (Point Guard)

PG can be a stud or value play depending on the night. We normally want PG’s that are playing against an uptempo team so they will get more possessions. Cheap value PGs are a great value against teams that play at a higher pace.

Also, we are looking for PGs that get lots of assists, steals and points.

Assists are really valuable at this position, so definitely watch out for Chris Paul and Kyrie Irving this season.

If a starting PG get injured, then we can plug in whoever is starting in his place because he will be undervalued. This is one of the best moves to free up salary for a stud PF.

SG (Shooting Guard)

Shooting guard is usually the weakest position on any given slate. It’s also a great place to punt the SG position. You can select a minimum salary guy that gets at least 30 minutes a game here. If you has a decent nice, you really give yourself a big advantage over your opponents.

Sometimes, you want to pay up for a stud SG like James Harden so I like to pair Harden with a near minimum salary SG that will play heavy minutes.

SF (Small Forward)

Small Forward is a good position to pay up for. Elite SF’s like Lebron James and Kevin Durant can go off for 50+ FDP in a given night. If you fade these guys, then your lineup is usually done for the night. Punting at SF is pretty risky so I usually will take 1 or 2 elite options to protect this position.

One way to find value at the SF is to discover mispriced guys that are on a hot streak. The most recent example is Paul George who is currently on a hot streak yet underpriced across the industry.

PF (Power Forward)

Power Forward is a great position to choose 1 stud PF like Anthony Davis then pair him up with a solid punt option. The reason is power forwards usually play under the basket and don’t have to move much to score or rebound. A minimum salary guy can easily pick up 8 points and 8 rebounds on an average night.

We don’t want to punt both positions unless you plan to pay up for PG. Be careful with PF’s entering the lineup due to a starter’s injury. If he is a typical bench player, he won’t get much usage. I prefer playing guys that always get minutes because there is a lot less variance in NBA than any other daily fantasy sport.

C (Center)

I like to roster a stud center like Demarcus Cousins or Dwight Howard. Simply because centers are a thing of the past in the NBA. Most of them have low usage rates and don’t score or rebound a lot.

Plus, guys like Cousins can go off for 60+ FDP nights. Always take a stud center in a great matchup. He will get lots of rebounds and easy baskets.

How to Pick Players That Put Up Huge Nights

One of the biggest keys in daily fantasy basketball is knowing how to extract value from players on a given night. Here are some of the things to consider:

  1. Player is on a hot streak and salary is not yet reflected (Paul George)
  2. Player is inheriting additional playing time due to injury/suspension/player out (Norman Powell)
  3. Player has favorable matchup against opposing position (SFs vs Rockets)
  4. Player has favorable matchup against poor team defense (vs. Brooklyn Nets)
  5. Player has favorable matchup against backup opposing defender (target big men against the Celtics)
  6. Player going against a team that recently made a trade but is shorthanded (Atlanta Hawks)
  7. Player returns from injury giving value to teammates (Chris Paul)

Target Scores

In order to win on FanDuel, you need to know what scores are needed when projecting players. Breaking down each position and category gives you the baselines needed to correctly project the players who will outperform their salary.

Tournaments (Guaranteed Prize Pool) – 350 (avg. score to take first place in a large field tournament)

Target Score – 350 points; 9 players on roster; 38 fantasy points per player

The average player on FanDuel has a production-to-salary ratio around 4x, meaning that a player averaging 40 FP will have a $10,000 valuation. The key is finding players with as many positive factors going for them in a particular night, so you can achieve those 6-8x production multipliers you need to win.

ROI Target Multiplier – Value Plays (7x-10x), Mid-Tier Plays (6x-7x), Top Tier Plays (5x-6x)

Value Salary Range = $3500-$5800 (25-50 pts) High Ceiling Plays
Mid-Tier Salary Range = $5900-$8400 (35-55 pts) Ceiling Plays
Top Tier Salary Range = $8500-$12000 (40-60 pts) Floor Plays

How to Do Research

Research is the easy part because you have so many great resources available on NBA stats and projections. Here’s a list of my favorite basketball resources:

Juke

Juke is an avid daily fantasy sports player who competes in MLB, NFL, NBA & Soccer leagues. He's been playing DFS for over a year and shares his successes & failures on RotoJuke. Follow Juke on Twitter.

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